GOLDPULSE
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RESEARCH

Every test we ran, including the failures

GoldPulse exists because we tested the strategies most gold robots sell, and threw away almost all of them. Here is the method, the full list, and the live log.

STEP 1

Rules written first

Rules, settings and the pass mark are saved to a file before any data is looked at.

STEP 2

Chosen on old data

Settings are picked on 2012–2021 (news data from mid-2017).

STEP 3

Checked once on new data

The choice is run a single time on 2022–2026. No re-tuning afterwards.

STEP 4

Real costs, then double

$0.35/oz per trade, $0.65 at news, and again at double cost.

STEP 5

Rebuilt in MT5

Survivors are coded in MT5 and tested with real ticks and random delay.

STEP 6

Frozen live demo

Three months on demo accounts with the rules frozen, published monthly.

THE FULL LIST

45+ ideas, 2 kept

PF = profit factor (gross profit ÷ gross loss) after costs. Above 1 makes money, below 1 loses. Grouped where several variants were tested together.

Strategy testedResultVerdict
Trend-pullback scalper (M1 / M5 / M15)PF 0.98 / 0.89 / 0.73 with real ticksREJECTED
Pullback scalper + ADX trend filterNo improvementREJECTED
Machine learning, 145 indicators (M5)PF 0.96 on unseen dataREJECTED
Machine learning, 27 H1 setupsBest setup PF 0.66 on unseen dataREJECTED
AI as a trade filter (442 signals)No reliable difference between accepted and rejected tradesREJECTED
US news surprise on goldPF 1.20 / 1.70 / 2.06 by period · MT5 real ticks PF 2.20KEPT
Spike fade after big H1 candlesPF 1.15 but 35% drawdownREJECTED
Momentum stop-order scalper+$16,900 in default tester → −$995 with real ticksREJECTED
News strategy on silverPF 0.77 after costsREJECTED
US news on 7 forex pairsPF 0.81–1.07REJECTED
Daily trend following, 8 markets−4.6% a year after costs and swapREJECTED
AI reading 80 Fed statementsPF 0.60REJECTED
Foreign news on their own currencyEUR 0.65 · GBP 0.79 · JPY 0.44REJECTED
US news on indices & US stocksPF 0.85–0.91REJECTED
News trades: let winners run / size by surprise / wait for confirmationNo real improvementREJECTED
H1 channel (Donchian) breakoutPF 0.83–0.92REJECTED
Daily volatility breakout on goldPF 1.18 in both periodsKEPT
+ skip extreme-range days and NFP / CPI / Fed daysPF 1.24 / 1.31 · MT5 real ticks PF 1.29KEPT
Breakout: 1% risk sizing, trend filter, trailing or 2R exitsNo improvement on unseen dataREJECTED
Previous-day, wide-level and weekly breakouts; silver breakoutFailed the pass ruleREJECTED
Failed-breakout reversalPF 1.50 (2012–21) → 0.75 (2022–26)REJECTED
Tight-stop, 7× target session breakoutPF 0.57–1.00REJECTED
Asian-range fadePF 0.72–0.76REJECTED
H1 EMA swing trend, 1:2 targetPF 0.77–0.95REJECTED
Breakout rules on 14 other marketsNone passed in both periodsREJECTED
Forex intraday fade (5 pairs)PF 0.77–0.89REJECTED
London breakout of the Asian range (8 markets)Combined PF 0.95REJECTED
"Smart money" structure break + retest (9 markets)PF 0.78–0.88REJECTED

Research on historical data. Simulated results do not guarantee future results. Details: how we backtest.

PROOF, NOT PROMISES

45+ ideas tested. 2 survived.

Most bots are tuned until the backtest looks perfect. We did the opposite: rules were written down before each test, chosen on older data (2012–2021), checked once on newer data (2022–2026), with real spreads and again at double costs. Everything that failed was thrown away, even ideas that looked great for ten years.

Same Breakout rules, 15 markets
Profit factor after costs · ○ 2012–2021  ● 2022–2026 · dashed line = break-even
0.51.01.5XAUUSD (gold)TSLANVDAUSDJPYAMZNUS500MSFTGBPUSDAAPLEURUSDDE40AUDUSDUS30USDCADUK100

Only gold stays above 1.15 in both periods. That's why GoldPulse is sold for XAUUSD only.

Road to launch
Research & 45+ pre-registered testsdone
MT5 real-tick backtestsdone
3-month live demo, rules frozenrunning
Public MQL5 live signalsnext
Launch on MQL5 Marketplanned

Updated: November 2026

What to check in any gold botGoldPulseOften seen
Stop loss on every trade✓hidden / none
Grid or martingalenevercommon
Backtest with real spreads✓tester spreads
Rules explained in plain words✓"secret AI"
Failed tests published✓rarely
✕  Trend-pullback scalpers (M1–M15)
✕  Machine learning, 145 indicators
✕  AI as a trade filter
✕  AI reading Fed statements
✕  Momentum stop-order scalper
✕  London breakout of the Asian range
✕  "Smart money" structure retest
✕  Failed-breakout reversal
✕  Trailing stops and profit locks
✕  News trading on forex and stocks
✓  US news surprise on gold → Catalyst
✓  Daily breakout on gold → Breakout

RESEARCH LOG

The live test, month by month.

Every month we post what the bots did on the demo accounts and how it compares with the backtest, including the losing months.

1 NOVEMBER 2026

The live demo starts

Catalyst runs on a $1,000 demo account and Breakout on its own $3,000 demo account, both at 0.01 lot. AI Observer records a forecast every trading morning. The rules are frozen for three months: no tweaks, no manual trades.

What we expect: about 2–3 Catalyst trades and about 9 Breakout trades a month, with losing streaks along the way. First results at the start of December.

LAUNCHING EARLY 2027

Get each month's results by email

Monthly demo results, the AI Observer scorecard and the launch price first. About one email a month.